critical high likelihood
R-001: Audited financials and unit economics are not public
Public sources do not provide audited financials, cash, burn, gross margin, contribution margin or revenue-recognition support.
Diligence request: Require audited/management accounts, revenue bridge, market P&Ls, gross margin and cash runway.
high high likelihood
R-002: Public valuation and financing terms are inconsistent or incomplete
Public valuation marks range from $1.07B to over $5B and 2024 debt/equity terms are private.
Diligence request: Obtain cap table, debt documents, liquidation preferences, option pool and latest valuation materials.
high high likelihood
R-003: Quick-commerce margin/demand pressure remains high
Sector reporting cites higher costs, lower demand, low margins, high acquisition costs and competitor exits.
Diligence request: Validate density, AOV, labor, rent, fees, promo spend and sensitivity cases by city.
high medium likelihood
R-005: Supplier and partner dependency may drive economics
REWE, Carrefour/Cajoo, Just Eat and large-merchant dependencies may materially affect margins and control.
Diligence request: Review top supplier/distribution contracts, exclusivity, rebates, SLAs, data rights and termination provisions.
high medium likelihood
R-007: Local hub regulation and competitor exits signal market fragility
Municipal restrictions on rapid-delivery distribution points and competitor exits show local market pressure.
Diligence request: Review permits, zoning, enforcement correspondence and city-level operating constraints.
high medium likelihood
R-008: Privacy/payment/location data exposure requires GDPR diligence
The app handles location, personal and financial data with third-party sharing disclosures.
Diligence request: Review DPIAs, Article 30 records, DPAs, subprocessors, breach logs and payment processor agreements.
medium high likelihood
R-004: Customer cohorts and revenue concentration are not public
App-store metrics do not disclose active users, retention, order frequency, churn or revenue concentration.
Diligence request: Request cohort data, DAU/MAU, orders/customer, NPS, CAC/LTV and promo dependency.
medium medium likelihood
R-006: France footprint and exit-cost signals are ambiguous
France signals conflict between app copy, historical Cajoo expansion and reported one-off France exit costs.
Diligence request: Confirm current France footprint and all exit, lease, employee and partner liabilities.